Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.003924 0.004126 0.004334 0.004564 0.004811 0.005068 0.005357
2025-07-13 0.003574 0.003875 0.004196 0.004568 0.004985 0.005443 0.005984
2025-07-20 0.003397 0.003761 0.004161 0.004637 0.005191 0.005819 0.006592
2025-07-27 0.003199 0.003598 0.004046 0.004592 0.005245 0.006007 0.006974
2025-08-03 0.003044 0.003469 0.003956 0.004561 0.005301 0.006187 0.007343
2025-08-10 0.002909 0.003353 0.003870 0.004525 0.005341 0.006341 0.007679
2025-08-17 0.002849 0.003321 0.003880 0.004600 0.005517 0.006666 0.008246
2025-08-24 0.002751 0.003237 0.003820 0.004583 0.005572 0.006834 0.008612
2025-08-31 0.002656 0.003151 0.003753 0.004552 0.005602 0.006969 0.008936
2025-09-07 0.002556 0.003056 0.003669 0.004492 0.005591 0.007044 0.009176
2025-09-14 0.002463 0.002965 0.003586 0.004429 0.005570 0.007102 0.009392
2025-09-21 0.002408 0.002918 0.003558 0.004436 0.005642 0.007288 0.009799
2025-09-28 0.002293 0.002794 0.003425 0.004300 0.005512 0.007188 0.009783
2025-10-05 0.002243 0.002750 0.003397 0.004304 0.005577 0.007366 0.010193
2025-10-12 0.002219 0.002742 0.003414 0.004367 0.005728 0.007673 0.010818
2025-10-19 0.002157 0.002679 0.003357 0.004326 0.005726 0.007754 0.011091
2025-10-26 0.002104 0.002626 0.003310 0.004297 0.005739 0.007857 0.011403
2025-11-02 0.002051 0.002573 0.003261 0.004264 0.005743 0.007945 0.011695
2025-11-09 0.002038 0.002573 0.003285 0.004334 0.005902 0.008278 0.012415
2025-11-16 0.001996 0.002533 0.003251 0.004318 0.005931 0.008408 0.012796
2025-11-23 0.001952 0.002487 0.003208 0.004289 0.005938 0.008501 0.013119
2025-11-30 0.001901 0.002431 0.003150 0.004234 0.005903 0.008523 0.013313
2025-12-07 0.001852 0.002376 0.003091 0.004176 0.005860 0.008531 0.013481